Chas Skelly vs Mirsad Bektić
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Chas Skelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Mirsad Bektić carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1738
If they lose-18→ 1706
If they win+18→ 1695
If they lose-14→ 1663
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chas SkellyMirsad Bektić
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chas Skelly60%
Mirsad Bektić 40%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Chas Skelly a 60% favorite over Mirsad Bektić in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Chas Skelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1677, a 47-point edge.
Chas Skelly enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chas Skelly finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Mirsad Bektić 69%.
Chas Skelly and Mirsad Bektić share 1 common opponent: Darren Elkins.
Chas Skelly carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.