Chas Skelly vs Sean Soriano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record15-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Chas Skelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Sean Soriano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1733
If they lose-23→ 1701
If they win+23→ 1592
If they lose-9→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chas SkellySean Soriano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chas Skelly78%
Sean Soriano 22%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Chas Skelly a 78% favorite over Sean Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Chas Skelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1569, a 155-point edge.
Chas Skelly enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sean Soriano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chas Skelly finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Sean Soriano 80%.
Chas Skelly carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.