Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Gibson vs Joshua Weems

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chase Gibson
us

Chase Gibson

“El Guero”

13-7-0FeatherweightLFA

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record17-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
CMMATeamBlack Sails MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase GibsonNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Joshua WeemsNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
5.25
55%
Strike accuracy
65%
6.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.34
52%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
4.77
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chase GibsonJoshua Weems
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (12%)
5 (38%)
Submission
9 (53%)
3 (23%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Weems71%
Chase Gibson 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 71% favorite over Chase Gibson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chase Gibson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.

Chase Gibson finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Weems 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.