Chase Gibson vs Júlio Assunção
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record6-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
CMMATeamCerrado MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chase GibsonJúlio Assunção
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Gibson52%
Júlio Assunção 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Gibson a 52% favorite over Júlio Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Chase Gibson finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Júlio Assunção 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.