Chase Gibson vs TJ Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-0Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach72"
145 lbsWeight156 lbs
CMMATeamWestside MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase GibsonTJ Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Gibson59%
TJ Brown 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Gibson a 59% favorite over TJ Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Chase Gibson finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.