Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Gormley vs Marek Samociuk

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
264 lbsWeight264 lbs
Reign MMATeamUniq Fight Club· 1584 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase GormleyNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Marek SamociukNow 1552
If they win+16→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.06
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
17.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
45%
Strike defense
Not available
3.09
Takedown avg.
Not available
33%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
3.09
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chase GormleyMarek Samociuk
15001550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
2 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (57%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chase Gormley and Marek Samociuk within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1552), separated by just 4 points.

Chase Gormley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Gormley finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Marek Samociuk 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.