Chase Gormley vs Marek Samociuk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-9-0Record9-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
264 lbsWeight264 lbs
Reign MMATeamUniq Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase GormleyMarek Samociuk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marek Samociuk67%
Chase Gormley 33%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Marek Samociuk a 67% favorite over Chase Gormley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chase Gormley's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1551), separated by just 5 points.
Chase Gormley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marek Samociuk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chase Gormley finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Marek Samociuk 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.