Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Gormley vs Terrance Chatman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record5-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReach76"
264 lbsWeight266 lbs
Reign MMATeam4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase GormleyNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Terrance ChatmanNow 1564
If they win+23→ 1587
If they lose-25→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1583 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.06
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
17.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
3.09
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
3.09
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chase GormleyTerrance Chatman
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
2 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (57%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance Chatman84%
Chase Gormley 16%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance Chatman a 84% favorite over Chase Gormley in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1564), separated by just 8 points.

Chase Gormley enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chase Gormley finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Terrance Chatman 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.