Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Hooper vs Roberto de Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record21-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Combat Sport & FitnessTeamBonsai Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase HooperNow 1706
If they win+16→ 1722
If they lose-16→ 1690
Roberto de SouzaNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.50
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
40%
Strike defense
Not available
2.43
Takedown avg.
Not available
2%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
55%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.08
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Chase HooperRoberto de Souza
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
9 (53%)
Submission
13 (62%)
4 (24%)
Decision
2 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Chase Hooper61%
Roberto de Souza 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chase Hooper a 61% favorite over Roberto de Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roberto de Souza's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1707), separated by just 1 points.

Chase Hooper finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Roberto de Souza 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.