Chase Sherman vs Damian Grabowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record22-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
78"Reach41,0"
265 lbsWeight261 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamLutadores Opole
What's at stake
Damian Grabowski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chase Sherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1602
If they lose-9→ 1578
If they win+9→ 1692
If they lose-15→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase ShermanDamian Grabowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damian Grabowski61%
Chase Sherman 39%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Damian Grabowski a 61% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Damian Grabowski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1587, a 96-point edge.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Damian Grabowski enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Damian Grabowski 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.