Chase Sherman vs Ike Villanueva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record18-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach73"
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeam4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Chase Sherman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Ike Villanueva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1597
If they lose-14→ 1573
If they win+18→ 1553
If they lose-14→ 1521
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase ShermanIke Villanueva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Sherman72%
Ike Villanueva 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Sherman a 72% favorite over Ike Villanueva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Chase Sherman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1587 to 1535, a 52-point edge.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Ike Villanueva 83%.
Chase Sherman carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.