Chase Sherman vs Jared Vanderaa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record17-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
78"Reach80"
265 lbsWeight259 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Quest
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase ShermanJared Vanderaa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Sherman56%
Jared Vanderaa 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Sherman a 56% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1585), separated by just 2 points.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Jared Vanderaa 82%.
Chase Sherman and Jared Vanderaa share 3 common opponents: Waldo Cortes-Acosta, Alexandr Romanov and Andrei Arlovski.
Jared Vanderaa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.