Chase Sherman vs Justin Ledet
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
78"ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTBD
What's at stake
Justin Ledet is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chase Sherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1600
If they lose-11→ 1576
If they win+15→ 1617
If they lose-17→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase ShermanJustin Ledet
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Ledet52%
Chase Sherman 48%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Ledet a 52% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Justin Ledet holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1602 to 1587, a 15-point edge.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Justin Ledet 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.