Chase Sherman vs Karl Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight247 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
Karl Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chase Sherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1600
If they lose-11→ 1576
If they win+15→ 1619
If they lose-17→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chase ShermanKarl Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Williams56%
Chase Sherman 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 56% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Karl Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1587, a 17-point edge.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.