Chase Sherman vs Karl Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight247 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
If they win+15→ 1615
If they lose-17→ 1583
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase ShermanKarl Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Williams60%
Chase Sherman 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 60% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1600), separated by just 13 points.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Karl Williams 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.