Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Sherman vs Shamil Abdurakhimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chase Sherman
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Chase Sherman

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

18-13-0HeavyweightOTH

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

18-13-0Record20-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
78"Reach76"
265 lbsWeight263 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamPeresvet FT

What's at stake

Shamil Abdurakhimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chase Sherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chase ShermanNow 1587
If they win+14→ 1601
If they lose-10→ 1577
Shamil AbdurakhimovNow 1650
If they win+10→ 1660
If they lose-14→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.04
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
45%
Strike accuracy
44%
6.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
52%
Strike defense
55%
0.09
Takedown avg.
1.01
50%
Takedown accuracy
23%
74%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Chase ShermanShamil Abdurakhimov
16001650170020222023

Win method breakdown

17 (94%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (20%)
1 (6%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Abdurakhimov54%
Chase Sherman 46%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Abdurakhimov a 54% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Shamil Abdurakhimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1650 to 1587, a 63-point edge.

Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.

Chase Sherman and Shamil Abdurakhimov share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.

Chase Sherman carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Andrei Arlovski
WinDEC · 2018