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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Sherman vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chase Sherman
us

Chase Sherman

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

18-13-0HeavyweightOTH

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

18-13-0Record17-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
78"Reach78"
265 lbsWeight262 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamUltimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Chase Sherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chase ShermanNow 1587
If they win+18→ 1605
If they lose-6→ 1581
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1762
If they win+9→ 1771
If they lose-23→ 1739

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.04
Sig. strikes / min
5.34
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
6.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
52%
Strike defense
54%
0.09
Takedown avg.
0.40
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
74%
Takedown defense
74%
0
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Chase ShermanWaldo Cortes-Acosta
1600165017001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (94%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (6%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta83%
Chase Sherman 17%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 83% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1762 to 1587, a 175-point edge.

Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Waldo Cortes-Acosta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Chase Sherman and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Andrei Arlovski
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024