Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Sherman vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chase Sherman
us

Chase Sherman

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

18-13-0HeavyweightOTH

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

18-13-0Record17-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
78"Reach78"
265 lbsWeight262 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamUltimate Kombat Fitness

What's at stake

Waldo Cortes-Acosta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Chase Sherman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chase ShermanNow 1587
If they win+18→ 1605
If they lose-6→ 1581
Waldo Cortes-AcostaNow 1779
If they win+8→ 1787
If they lose-24→ 1755

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1714 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.04
Sig. strikes / min
5.54
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
6.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
52%
Strike defense
57%
0.09
Takedown avg.
0.44
50%
Takedown accuracy
57%
74%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Chase ShermanWaldo Cortes-Acosta
1600165017001750180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (94%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
1 (6%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Waldo Cortes-Acosta92%
Chase Sherman 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Waldo Cortes-Acosta a 92% favorite over Chase Sherman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Waldo Cortes-Acosta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1779 to 1587, a 192-point edge.

Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Waldo Cortes-Acosta 59%.

Chase Sherman and Waldo Cortes-Acosta share 1 common opponent: Andrei Arlovski.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Andrei Arlovski
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2024