Chase Sherman vs Yorgan De Castro
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
78"Reach74"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamRegiment Training Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1612 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chase ShermanYorgan De Castro
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chase Sherman70%
Yorgan De Castro 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Chase Sherman a 70% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.
Chase Sherman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chase Sherman finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.
Chase Sherman carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.