Combat Edge Intelligence

Chase Waldon vs Jake Woodley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach-
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Spartan Martial ArtsTeamTeam Bodyshop· 1649 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chase WaldonNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615
Jake WoodleyNow 1632
If they win+24→ 1656
If they lose-24→ 1608

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1481 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.03
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
7.76
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chase WaldonJake Woodley
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
5 (45%)
Submission
1 (13%)
3 (27%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jake Woodley60%
Chase Waldon 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jake Woodley a 60% favorite over Chase Waldon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1631 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.

Jake Woodley enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Chase Waldon finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jake Woodley 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.