Combat Edge Intelligence

Chatt Lavender vs Yusaku Kinoshita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-7-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Assassin Grapplers MMATeamPancrase Inagakigumi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chatt LavenderNow 1526
If they win+16→ 1542
If they lose-16→ 1510
Yusaku KinoshitaNow 1523
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1511 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chatt LavenderYusaku Kinoshita
155020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
7 (78%)
Submission
2 (33%)
2 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusaku Kinoshita53%
Chatt Lavender 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 53% favorite over Chatt Lavender in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chatt Lavender's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1523), separated by just 3 points.

Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Chatt Lavender finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.