Che Mills vs Erick Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record20-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Trojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Che MillsErick Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Silva62%
Che Mills 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Silva a 62% favorite over Che Mills in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1557), separated by just 1 points.
Che Mills enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Che Mills finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Erick Silva 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.