Che Mills vs James Vake
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Trojan Free FightersTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Che MillsJames Vake
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Vake84%
Che Mills 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Vake a 84% favorite over Che Mills in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1558), separated by just 3 points.
Che Mills enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James Vake enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Che Mills finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, James Vake 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.