Che Mills vs Matthew Riddle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Matthew Riddle
Elo1583SolidTale of the tape
16-10-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
6'2"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD
Trojan Free FightersTeamTBD
What's at stake
Matthew Riddle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Che Mills carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1572
If they lose-15→ 1540
If they win+22→ 1605
If they lose-26→ 1557
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Che MillsMatthew Riddle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew Riddle63%
Che Mills 37%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 63% favorite over Che Mills in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Matthew Riddle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1555, a 28-point edge.
Che Mills enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Che Mills finishes 81% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.