AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Che Mills vs Matthew Riddle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Che Mills
gb-eng

Che Mills

“Beautiful”

16-10-0WelterweightCWFC

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
6'2"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD
Trojan Free Fighters· 1567 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTBD

What's at stake

Matthew Riddle is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Che Mills carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Che MillsNow 1556
If they win+17→ 1573
If they lose-15→ 1541
Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+22→ 1605
If they lose-26→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
52%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.74
43%
Strike defense
55%
1.18
Takedown avg.
3.51
67%
Takedown accuracy
50%
59%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Che MillsMatthew Riddle
155016002011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

9 (56%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (19%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Che Mills and Matthew Riddle within a point of even.

Matthew Riddle holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1556, a 27-point edge.

Che Mills enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Che Mills finishes 81% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.