Combat Edge Intelligence

Cheick Kongo vs Christian Wellisch

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

31-12-2Record8-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
242 lbsWeight234 lbs
Kongo Smashin' ClubTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

Cheick Kongo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Christian Wellisch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cheick KongoNow 1749
If they win+5→ 1754
If they lose-19→ 1730
Christian WellischNow 1538
If they win+25→ 1563
If they lose-7→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
3.12
58%
Strike accuracy
28%
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.04
55%
Strike defense
56%
2.20
Takedown avg.
1.22
63%
Takedown accuracy
43%
53%
Takedown defense
45%
0.28
Submission avg.
1.22

Trajectory

Cheick KongoChristian Wellisch
1500160017002007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

15 (48%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
4 (13%)
Submission
3 (38%)
12 (39%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Cheick Kongo78%
Christian Wellisch 22%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Cheick Kongo a 78% favorite over Christian Wellisch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Cheick Kongo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1538, a 211-point edge.

Cheick Kongo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Christian Wellisch 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.