Combat Edge Intelligence

Cheick Kongo vs Gilbert Aldana

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

31-12-2Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
242 lbsWeight250 lbs
Kongo Smashin' ClubTeamBrausa Academy

What's at stake

Cheick Kongo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Gilbert Aldana carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cheick KongoNow 1749
If they win+8→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1733
Gilbert AldanaNow 1636
If they win+32→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.51
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
58%
Strike accuracy
55%
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.26
55%
Strike defense
26%
2.20
Takedown avg.
2.57
63%
Takedown accuracy
40%
53%
Takedown defense
33%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cheick KongoGilbert Aldana
16001700200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

15 (48%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
4 (13%)
Submission
1 (17%)
12 (39%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cheick Kongo58%
Gilbert Aldana 42%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Cheick Kongo a 58% favorite over Gilbert Aldana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Cheick Kongo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1636, a 113-point edge.

Gilbert Aldana enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Cheick Kongo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Aldana 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.