Cheick Kongo vs Matt Mitrione
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-2Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReach43,0"
242 lbsWeight255 lbs
Kongo Smashin' ClubTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Cheick Kongo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Matt Mitrione carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1733
If they win+21→ 1653
If they lose-11→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cheick KongoMatt Mitrione
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cheick Kongo61%
Matt Mitrione 39%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Cheick Kongo a 61% favorite over Matt Mitrione in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Cheick Kongo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1632, a 117-point edge.
Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cheick Kongo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.
Cheick Kongo and Matt Mitrione share 4 common opponents: Ryan Bader, Sergei Kharitonov, Tim Johnson and Oli Thompson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (4)
Loss Decision · 2020
Win Punches · 2018
Loss Ground & Pound · 2020
Win Rear Naked Choke · 2021
Loss Uppercut to Hammerfists · 2019