Cheick Kongo vs Paul Buentello
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-12-2Record35-17-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
242 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kongo Smashin' ClubTeamGrudge Training Center
What's at stake
Cheick Kongo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Paul Buentello carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1734
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-8→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cheick KongoPaul Buentello
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cheick Kongo71%
Paul Buentello 29%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Cheick Kongo a 71% favorite over Paul Buentello in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Cheick Kongo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1643, a 107-point edge.
Cheick Kongo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Paul Buentello 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.