Cheick Kongo vs Roy Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
31-12-2Record24-20-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach72,0"
242 lbsWeight249 lbs
Kongo Smashin' ClubTeamCountry Club
What's at stake
Cheick Kongo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Roy Nelson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1757
If they lose-16→ 1733
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-8→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1669 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cheick KongoRoy Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cheick Kongo75%
Roy Nelson 25%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Cheick Kongo a 75% favorite over Roy Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Cheick Kongo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1749 to 1626, a 123-point edge.
Roy Nelson enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Cheick Kongo finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Roy Nelson 83%.
Cheick Kongo and Roy Nelson share 2 common opponents: Sergei Kharitonov and Javy Ayala.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
Win Rear Naked Choke · 2021
Loss Punches & Knees · 2018
Win Punch · 2018
Win Decision · 2017