Combat Edge Intelligence

Chelsea Hackett vs Denise Kielholtz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-1Record9-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'3"
66"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight124 lbs
Potential Unlimited Mixed Martial ArtsTeamSports Academy Schreiber

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chelsea HackettNow 1560
If they win+25→ 1585
If they lose-23→ 1537
Denise KielholtzNow 1572
If they win+15→ 1587
If they lose-17→ 1555

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.58
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chelsea HackettDenise Kielholtz
1550202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (33%)
3 (60%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Denise Kielholtz51%
Chelsea Hackett 49%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Denise Kielholtz a 51% favorite over Chelsea Hackett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1572), separated by just 12 points.

Denise Kielholtz enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Chelsea Hackett finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Denise Kielholtz 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.