Chelsea Hackett vs Keith Wisniewski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-1Record28-15-1
FlyweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Keith Wisniewski is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Chelsea Hackett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1587
If they lose-21→ 1539
If they win+10→ 1616
If they lose-14→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chelsea HackettKeith Wisniewski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chelsea Hackett63%
Keith Wisniewski 37%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Chelsea Hackett a 63% favorite over Keith Wisniewski in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Keith Wisniewski's way (43%).
Keith Wisniewski holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1560, a 46-point edge.
Keith Wisniewski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chelsea Hackett finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Keith Wisniewski 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.