Combat Edge Intelligence

Chequina Noso Pedro vs Conor McCarthy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record6-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach-
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
BA ArmyTeamSBG Naas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chequina Noso PedroNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Conor McCarthyNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chequina Noso PedroConor McCarthy
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
4 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (50%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chequina Noso Pedro and Conor McCarthy within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.

Chequina Noso Pedro finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Conor McCarthy 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.