Combat Edge Intelligence

Chequina Noso Pedro vs John Howard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Howard
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John Howard

“Doomsday”

29-19-1WelterweightXMMA

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record29-19-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
BA ArmyTeamWai Kru MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chequina Noso PedroNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
John HowardNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1602 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.08
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
49%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Chequina Noso PedroJohn Howard
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
10 (34%)
4 (40%)
Submission
7 (24%)
5 (50%)
Decision
12 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Chequina Noso Pedro63%
John Howard 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chequina Noso Pedro a 63% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1608), separated by just 0 points.

John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chequina Noso Pedro finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, John Howard 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.