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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chermen Gobaev vs Raphael Assunção

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-0-0Record28-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'5"
-Reach66"
137 lbsWeight135 lbs
ARS MMA TeamTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chermen GobaevNow 1705
If they win+16→ 1721
If they lose-16→ 1689
Raphael AssunçãoNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1700 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.50
Not available
Strike defense
67%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.65
Not available
Takedown accuracy
39%
Not available
Takedown defense
78%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Chermen GobaevRaphael Assunção
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
10 (36%)
8 (80%)
Decision
14 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chermen Gobaev and Raphael Assunção within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1707), separated by just 2 points.

Chermen Gobaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Chermen Gobaev finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Raphael Assunção 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.