Combat Edge Intelligence

Chersi Dudaev vs Ryan Gandra

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Gandra
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Ryan Gandra

“Problema”

10-1-0MiddleweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

18-4-0Record10-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach74"
172 lbsWeight184 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamFlavio Baiano Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chersi DudaevNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677
Ryan GandraNow 1695
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
11.71
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
TBD
Strike defense
74%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chersi DudaevRyan Gandra
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (11%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
8 (44%)
Submission
1 (10%)
8 (44%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Gandra60%
Chersi Dudaev 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gandra a 60% favorite over Chersi Dudaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1693 vs 1695), separated by just 2 points.

Ryan Gandra enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Chersi Dudaev finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gandra 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.