Combat Edge Intelligence

Cheyanne Bowers vs Mariya Agapova

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
66"Reach68"
132 lbsWeight125 lbs
Next Edge AcademyTeamMMA Science Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cheyanne BowersNow 1620
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
Mariya AgapovaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.43
Not available
Strike accuracy
55%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
Not available
Strike defense
52%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.55
Not available
Takedown accuracy
67%
Not available
Takedown defense
45%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.83

Trajectory

Cheyanne BowersMariya Agapova
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
6 (75%)
Submission
5 (50%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Mariya Agapova64%
Cheyanne Bowers 36%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mariya Agapova a 64% favorite over Cheyanne Bowers in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cheyanne Bowers's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1613), separated by just 7 points.

Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cheyanne Bowers finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mariya Agapova 80%.

Mariya Agapova carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.