Combat Edge Intelligence

Cheyden Leialoha vs Leonardo Cerboni

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record9-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight151 lbs
Gracie TechnicsTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1660 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cheyden LeialohaNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644
Leonardo CerboniNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.87
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
29%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
2
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
71%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cheyden LeialohaLeonardo Cerboni
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
4 (33%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (33%)
Decision
6 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Cheyden Leialoha56%
Leonardo Cerboni 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cheyden Leialoha a 56% favorite over Leonardo Cerboni in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Leonardo Cerboni's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Leonardo Cerboni enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Cheyden Leialoha finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Cerboni 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.