Combat Edge Intelligence

Cheyden Leialoha vs Mads Burnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Gracie TechnicsTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cheyden LeialohaNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Mads BurnellNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
29%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
54%
Strike defense
51%
2
Takedown avg.
3.45
0%
Takedown accuracy
47%
71%
Takedown defense
22%
0
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Cheyden LeialohaMads Burnell
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
4 (33%)
Submission
9 (47%)
4 (33%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Cheyden Leialoha64%
Mads Burnell 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cheyden Leialoha a 64% favorite over Mads Burnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1656), separated by just 2 points.

Mads Burnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cheyden Leialoha finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.

Cheyden Leialoha carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.