Combat Edge Intelligence

Cheyden Leialoha vs Sebastian Szalay

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record10-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gracie TechnicsTeamFreestyle MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cheyden LeialohaNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Sebastian SzalayNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.87
Sig. strikes / min
4.25
29%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.27
54%
Strike defense
72%
2
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
71%
Takedown defense
85%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cheyden LeialohaSebastian Szalay
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (10%)
4 (33%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Cheyden Leialoha53%
Sebastian Szalay 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cheyden Leialoha a 53% favorite over Sebastian Szalay in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Cheyden Leialoha finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Szalay 30%.

Cheyden Leialoha carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.