Chico Camus vs Dustin Pague
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record12-11-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight152 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamDisciple MMA
What's at stake
Chico Camus is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Dustin Pague carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1681
If they lose-17→ 1657
If they win+23→ 1528
If they lose-9→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chico CamusDustin Pague
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chico Camus59%
Dustin Pague 41%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Chico Camus a 59% favorite over Dustin Pague in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Chico Camus holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1505, a 169-point edge.
Chico Camus finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Pague 100%.
Chico Camus and Dustin Pague share 1 common opponent: Kyoji Horiguchi.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.