Combat Edge Intelligence

Chico Camus vs Lone’er Kavanagh

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record10-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
TBDReach67"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chico CamusNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Lone’er KavanaghNow 1671
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1622 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.58
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
41%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
65%
Strike defense
54%
0.77
Takedown avg.
1.12
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
72%
Takedown defense
83%
0.39
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Chico CamusLone’er Kavanagh
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
4 (21%)
Submission
1 (10%)
11 (58%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Lone’er Kavanagh66%
Chico Camus 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lone’er Kavanagh a 66% favorite over Chico Camus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chico Camus's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1671), separated by just 3 points.

Chico Camus finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Lone’er Kavanagh 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.