Combat Edge Intelligence

Chidi Njokuani vs Gunnar Nelson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-12-0Record19-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
80"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
One Kick's GymTeamMjolnir

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chidi NjokuaniNow 1709
If they win+12→ 1721
If they lose-12→ 1697
Gunnar NelsonNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
1.77
62%
Strike accuracy
61%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
58%
Strike defense
49%
0
Takedown avg.
2
0%
Takedown accuracy
52%
76%
Takedown defense
68%
0.14
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Chidi NjokuaniGunnar Nelson
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
1 (4%)
Submission
13 (68%)
10 (38%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Chidi Njokuani73%
Gunnar Nelson 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chidi Njokuani a 73% favorite over Gunnar Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gunnar Nelson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1710), separated by just 1 points.

Chidi Njokuani finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Gunnar Nelson 89%.

Chidi Njokuani carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.