Chidi Njokuani vs Jake Matthews
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-12-0Record23-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'11"
80"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
Jake Matthews is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chidi Njokuani carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1722
If they lose-11→ 1698
If they win+11→ 1762
If they lose-13→ 1738
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chidi NjokuaniJake Matthews
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Matthews66%
Chidi Njokuani 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Matthews a 66% favorite over Chidi Njokuani in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jake Matthews holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1709, a 42-point edge.
Chidi Njokuani finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jake Matthews 61%.
Chidi Njokuani carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.