Combat Edge Intelligence

Chidi Njokuani vs Jared Gooden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jared Gooden
us

Jared Gooden

“Nite Train”

23-12-0WelterweightPFL

1631Solid

Tale of the tape

26-12-0Record23-12-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'4"
80"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs

What's at stake

Chidi Njokuani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jared Gooden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chidi NjokuaniNow 1709
If they win+9→ 1718
If they lose-15→ 1694
Jared GoodenNow 1631
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1622

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1603 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
62%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.74
58%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
0.91
0%
Takedown accuracy
45%
76%
Takedown defense
65%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Chidi NjokuaniJared Gooden
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
11 (48%)
1 (4%)
Submission
7 (30%)
10 (38%)
Decision
5 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Chidi Njokuani89%
Jared Gooden 11%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Chidi Njokuani a 89% favorite over Jared Gooden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Chidi Njokuani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1709 to 1631, a 78-point edge.

Jared Gooden enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chidi Njokuani finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gooden 78%.

Chidi Njokuani carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.