Combat Edge Intelligence

Chidi Njokuani vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-12-0Record30-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height6'0"
80"Reach73″
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
One Kick's GymTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chidi NjokuaniNow 1709
If they win+12→ 1721
If they lose-12→ 1697
Santiago PonzinibbioNow 1698
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1691 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
62%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.68
58%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
0.60
0%
Takedown accuracy
12%
76%
Takedown defense
71%
0.14
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chidi NjokuaniSantiago Ponzinibbio
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (58%)
KO/TKO
17 (57%)
1 (4%)
Submission
6 (20%)
10 (38%)
Decision
7 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Chidi Njokuani71%
Santiago Ponzinibbio 29%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Chidi Njokuani a 71% favorite over Santiago Ponzinibbio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1698), separated by just 11 points.

Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chidi Njokuani finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.

Chidi Njokuani carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.