Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Amarante vs Tenya Yoshimura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record5-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
TBDTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris AmaranteNow 1526
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
Tenya YoshimuraNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1471 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris AmaranteTenya Yoshimura
1550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (100%)
Submission
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Tenya Yoshimura60%
Chris Amarante 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tenya Yoshimura a 60% favorite over Chris Amarante in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chris Amarante's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1526 vs 1523), separated by just 3 points.

Tenya Yoshimura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tenya Yoshimura 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.