Chris Avila vs David Velasquez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record10-10-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'5"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1510
If they lose-17→ 1478
If they win+17→ 1501
If they lose-15→ 1469
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Avila72%
David Velasquez 28%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 72% favorite over David Velasquez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1484), separated by just 11 points.
Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, David Velasquez 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.