Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Hyuga Miyagawa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record7-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamTeam Smoker

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+16→ 1511
If they lose-16→ 1479
Hyuga MiyagawaNow 1499
If they win+16→ 1515
If they lose-16→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris AvilaHyuga Miyagawa
140014501500202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
2 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Hyuga Miyagawa63%
Chris Avila 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Hyuga Miyagawa a 63% favorite over Chris Avila in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1499), separated by just 4 points.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Hyuga Miyagawa 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.