Chris Avila vs Hyuga Miyagawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record7-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1511
If they lose-16→ 1479
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chris AvilaHyuga Miyagawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Avila57%
Hyuga Miyagawa 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 57% favorite over Hyuga Miyagawa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hyuga Miyagawa's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1500), separated by just 5 points.
Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Hyuga Miyagawa 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.