Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Kevin Roddy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Roddy
us

Kevin Roddy

“K-Rod”

15-16-1FeatherweightBFC

1495Average

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record15-16-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris AvilaNow 1495
If they win+16→ 1511
If they lose-16→ 1479
Kevin RoddyNow 1495
If they win+12→ 1507
If they lose-12→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris AvilaKevin Roddy
15002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Submission
12 (80%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Avila62%
Kevin Roddy 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 62% favorite over Kevin Roddy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1495 vs 1495), separated by just 0 points.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Roddy 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.