Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Avila vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-9-0Record2-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
39,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chris AvilaNow 1496
If they win+16→ 1512
If they lose-16→ 1480
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.37
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
30%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
49%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
46%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Chris AvilaLorenzo de Nigris
150015502026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Submission
2 (100%)
1 (13%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chris Avila and Lorenzo de Nigris within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1501), separated by just 5 points.

Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.