Chris Avila vs Zak Flessas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-9-0Record3-2-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1512
If they lose-16→ 1480
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris AvilaZak Flessas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Avila60%
Zak Flessas 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 60% favorite over Zak Flessas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zak Flessas's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1496 vs 1500), separated by just 4 points.
Chris Avila finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Zak Flessas 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.