Chris Barnett vs Matt Mitrione
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-0Record13-9-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'3"
75"Reach43,0"
268 lbsWeight255 lbs
XFCTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1645
If they lose-12→ 1621
If they win+16→ 1648
If they lose-16→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1707 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chris BarnettMatt Mitrione
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Barnett61%
Matt Mitrione 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Barnett a 61% favorite over Matt Mitrione in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1633 vs 1632), separated by just 1 points.
Chris Barnett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Chris Barnett finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Matt Mitrione 85%.
Chris Barnett and Matt Mitrione share 1 common opponent: Ben Rothwell.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.