Combat Edge Intelligence

Chris Beal vs Chris Kelades

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chris Kelades
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Chris Kelades

“The Greek Assassin”

15-5-0FlyweightFLA

1496Average

Tale of the tape

0-0-0Record15-5-0
LightweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69,0"Reach38.00
155 lbsWeight125 lbs
TBDTeamFit Plus

What's at stake

Chris Beal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Chris Kelades carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chris BealNow 1524
If they win+15→ 1539
If they lose-17→ 1507
Chris KeladesNow 1496
If they win+26→ 1522
If they lose-22→ 1474

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.45
Sig. strikes / min
2.40
36%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
62%
Strike defense
49%
1.60
Takedown avg.
1.04
58%
Takedown accuracy
18%
78%
Takedown defense
54%
0.23
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Chris BealChris Kelades
15001550202020212022

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (27%)
0 (0%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Chris Beal58%
Chris Kelades 42%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Chris Beal a 58% favorite over Chris Kelades in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Chris Beal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1524 to 1496, a 28-point edge.

Chris Kelades enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Chris Kelades 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.